Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Ascent Santa Clara
decks
6
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
47
20-20-7
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1316
· median 1282
· range 1170–1638
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1197
Q3 1420
1750
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.8% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 38.6% | -5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 10.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.8% | -10.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 31.9% | -10.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.3% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 70.6% | +13.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.1% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 29.3% | -11.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +6.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.1% | +18.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.6% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 69.3% | +14.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.6% | +6.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 68.3% | +29.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Water Diana | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
